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04/22/2009 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - J.J. Hardy went 2-for-3 with a solo home run, as the Milwaukee Brewers hung on to beat the Philadelphia Phillies, 3-1, in the middle installment of a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park.
Mike Cameron went 1-for-4 with a two-run double for the Brewers, who had lost three of their previous four outings. Corey Hart went 2-for-4 with a run scored.
Braden Looper (2-0) allowed five hits in a scoreless six-inning start to collect the win for Milwaukee. He also walked two in his third start of the season. Todd Coffey gave up a solo shot in the ninth, but was able to get out of a jam to pick up his second save of the year.
"Looper did a good job. Usually we hit him pretty good, but we couldn't muster any runs," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel said.
Jayson Werth went 2-for-4 and had the lone run of the game for Philadelphia with a solo homer.
Joe Blanton (0-2) gave up three runs on eight hits with five strikeouts to take the loss for the Phillies, who won 11-4 in the opener of the series on Tuesday. Blanton dropped his ERA to 7.31.
Trailing 3-0, Philadelphia tried to come back in the ninth. Coffey started the frame by getting Ryan Howard to go down swinging, but allowed Werth to hit a solo homer over the center-field wall. Raul Ibanez followed with a single to left and was thrown out at second when Pedro Feliz grounded into a force out. Pinch-hitter Matt Stairs set up a first and third with two outs by stroking a single to right field. Coffey got pinch-hitter Chris Coste to go down swinging to seal the victory.
The first run of the game didn't come until the fifth when Hardy belted a homer for Milwaukee. After Cameron grounded out to begin the frame, Hardy drove a 3-2 changeup from Blanton over the wall in left. A Jason Kendall single was sandwiched between fly outs from Craig Counsell and Looper to end the inning.
The Brewers added two runs in the sixth to extend their lead to 3-0. Hart singled and Ryan Braun walked with one gone. Blanton got Prince Fielder to fly out, but allowed Cameron to stroke a two-run double down the left-field line. Hardy went down looking to end the inning.
Looper ran into a bit of trouble in the home half of the sixth, but was able to work his way out of the jam. After retiring the first two batters, Looper walked Howard and gave up an infield single to Werth. Ibanez lined out to right fielder Hart to end the frame, though.
Mark DiFelice and Carlos Villanueva retired the Phillies in order in the seventh and eighth inning, respectively.
Game Notes
Ibanez went 1-for-4 to improve his hitting streak to nine games...The last time Blanton faced the Brewers, he pitched the Phillies into the NLCS...Philadelphia won five of six versus Milwaukee last year, including a four-game sweep at home from September 11-14 that caused the Brewers to stumble down the finish and heading into the playoffs.
<< Braves edge Nats in ninth
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pitching duel between Atlanta's Jair
Jurrjens and Washington's John Lannan was decided by the Nationals' bullpen,
as Garrett Mock and Mike Hinckley loaded the bases in the top of the ninth
inning,
<< White Sox crush O's
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Fields slugged a two-run homer and John
Danks continued his strong start to the season, as the Chicago White Sox
defeated the Baltimore Orioles, 8-2, in the middle installment of a three-game
series
<< Lee helps Magic top Sixers, even series
Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Courtney Lee was the catalyst for Orlando, as
the rookie recorded a team-high 24 points to help the Magic even their Eastern
Conference quarterfinal series against the Philadelphia 76ers with a 96-87
Game 2
<< Lundqvist the difference as Rangers grab 3-1 series lead
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Henrik Lundqvist made 38 saves to lead the New
York Rangers over the Washington Capitals, 2-1, in Game 4 of an Eastern
Conference quarterfinal series at Madison Square Garden.
Paul Mara and Chris Drur
Blackhawks RW Kane returns to action >>
Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chicago Blackhawks right wing Patrick
Kane, who missed Game 3 of the club's Western Conference quarterfinal
series against Calgary on Monday because of the flu, returned to action for
Game 4 on Wednesday.
Wizards, Red Bulls renew Eastern rivalry >>
Kansas City, KA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Kansas City Wizards are coming off a
dramatic come-from-behind 2-2 draw at Chicago after scoring two goals in the
final 12 minutes last weekend.
The New York Red Bulls are coming off their first w
Red Sox top Twins in nightcap for seventh straight win >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeff Bailey's first home run of the season, a
three-run shot, led the way as Boston upended Minnesota, 7-3, in the back
half of a day-night doubleheader which completed a two-game set at Fenway
Park.
Wade, Heat even series in Atlanta >>
Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dwyane Wade finished with 33 points, seven
assists and five rebounds, as the Miami Heat evened their Eastern Conference
quarterfinal series with a 108-93 Game 2 win over the Atlanta Hawks.
In Game 1 of
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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